How Valrie Plante and Denis Coderre are trying to win your vote

It has, by now,become acommonplace of the campaign to describe Valrie Plante and Denis Coderre as polar opposites, as night-and-day choices for mayor.

But what is driving the perception that they're so different?A couple of obvious answers come to mind:gender, life experiences, world views, and so on.

Each candidate, though, reinforces these differences in the words they use.

To get a better sense of how word-choice contributes to our perception of the candidates, we took a closer look at what they said during Monday night's English-language debate.

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CBCNews provided twoPhD students in political scienceVincent Hopkins of Simon Fraser University andDenver McNeneyof McGillUniversity with a transcript of the debate.Using the transcript, they were able to perform a series of word-frequency analyses.

In one, they compared the tone of the words used by Coderreand Plante, or more specifically, their ratio of positive to negative words at given moments in the debate.

"Both candidates were fairly equal in their overall sentiment, thoughCoderrehad a brief period of positivity in the middle of the debate thatwasn't matched byPlante," the researcherssaid in an email.

What is also noteworthy about the tone analysis is that while one is using positive words to discuss a topic, the other is using negative words.

So for example, while Plante was making the case for the Pink line her proposal to build a new Metro line from Montreal North to Lachine she used phrases like "strong idea" and "good for economic development."

When it came time for Coderreto speak, he used more negative termslike "peopleare cynical."

That their tone diverged is, by itself, not surprising. It was a debate after all.But it is indicative of how little they agree on. Whatever the issue, if one used positive language, the other went negative.

Oh, and thatspike in positive language for Coderrein the middle of the debate? He was talking about Montreal's 375th anniversary celebrations, trying to give an up-beat spin on his major legacy project.

Semantic networks, say what?

Hopkins andMcNeneyalso teased outsemantic networks of co-occuring words, a more advanced form of drawing word clouds.Semantic networks capture not just popular words but also the context in which thosewords are used.

"ValriePlante'snetwork plotsuggests an emphasis on 'choice' during the debate," the researchers said. "When she talks about choice, shealso talks about neighbourhoods, safetyand opportunity."

Coderre, as the incumbent, is running on his record. His semantic network during the debate revolved around "accomplishment."

"When he talks about accomplishment, he also talksabout Indigenous people, city programsand various quantities of interest (e.g. 'record tourist numbers')," saidHopkins andMcNeney.

Another element that stands out:the word "tomorrow" appears around "choice"in Plante's semantic network,whereas Coderretended to pair "accomplishment" with "today."

What they say when they talk about the economy

The word frequency analysis also illustrates how Planteand Coderreapproach the same issue but from different perspectives.

Take, for example, what we might refer to broadly as "The Economy."

"Both candidates talked about spending and the economy in the first 20 minutes," saidHopkins andMcNeney.

"Ms. Plante gradually shifted focus to other topics (e.g. English-language service), while Mr. Coderre returned to the topic in the last 15 minutes of the debate."

This might reflect Coderre'sbelief that it's an issue where he has an advantage over his opponent. But also note that when speaking about The Economy he used words like"billions", "dollars" and "tax."

When Plantespoke about The Economy she used words like "money," businesses" and "work."

These word choices might reflect ProjetMontral'sattempts to win over small-business owners by promising to fostercommercial arteries. Coderre, on the other hand, likes to boast of jet-setting around the world to convince corporations into coming to Montreal.

A caveatis in order. While both Coderre and Plante speak English with ease, it is their second-language and a live debate,where the stakes are high,is likely to only further tax their fluency. Their sentence construction and word choice don't always reflect those of a native speaker.

But in focusing on word patterns, as opposed to specific utterances, this kind of analysis offers a general sense of howthe two contenders are trying to win over voters.

During an election campaign, voters risk being easily lured by the siren song of politicians. A better understanding of themechanics of political rhetoric, hopefully, empowers us to make more informed decisions come election day.

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