Q1 GDP decline worst since 1991 - Action News
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Q1 GDP decline worst since 1991

Canada suffered its largest quarterly drop in GDP in 18 years, according to figures released Monday.

Canada suffered its largest quarterly drop in GDP in 18 years, according to figures released Monday.

Statistics Canada said the gross domestic product essentially the country's income fell by 1.4 per cent for the first three months of 2009 ascompanies stopped spending on new equipment becauseof the global recession.

That means that the country's performance for the January to March period was the worst since 1991.

Canadian exports continued to slip in the first quarter this year.

For March, real GDP once inflation is subtracted fell by 0.3 per cent.

Companies spending less was a big problem, Statistics Canada said.

"Business investment in Canada fell at the fastest rate since 1982," said the statistical agency in a press release.

Statistics Canada estimated thatspending on business equipment fell by 35.7 per cent in the first three months of 2009 versus the fourth quarter of 2008.

Firms have seen profits disappear and domestic demand stall as the worldwide credit crunch last fall became a full-blown recession by the winter.

Worst GDP categories (annualized rates) Q1 (%)
Business equipment -35.7
Exports -30.4
Before-tax corporate profits -67.0
Residential investment -21.0
Source: BMO Capital Markets

Weak spending

Domestic demand, which makes up approximately two-thirds of Canada's economic activity, also weakened, down 1.5 per cent as individuals reduced their spending.

Canadians spent 0.8 per cent less in the first quarter of 2009 versus the same period one year earlier.

The country's trade picturealso looked pretty bleak. Exports in the quarter were down 30 per cent versus the first three months of 2008.

In addition, imports were also off 37.8 per cent in the first quarter. Economists argue that the level of purchases from foreigners should rise during a recovery.

Thus, the poor showing by the import sector is more evidence that Canada'srecovery remains moribund, experts say.

Yearly slide

If you calculated the first quarter'sdecline as an annualized figure, Canada's GDPwould fall 5.4per centfor the 12 months.

Still, that slide appeared to be a better result than some economists had predicted.

Economistshad pegged the country's annualized lossin the first quarter at 6.5 per cent.

"While it's tough to put such a deep drop in GDP in a good light,there are somepositives here," said Doug Porter, an economist with BMO CapitalMarkets.

He pointed out that only France managed to turn in a better GDP quarterly performance than did Canada. In addition, earlier in the year, some analysts were calling for Canadian income to drop by more than seven per cent, Porter said.