More Canadians are 65 and over than under age 15, StatsCan says

For the first time ever, there are now more people in Canada age 65and overthan there are under age 15, according to Statistics Canada.

The data agency said Tuesday that Canada's population sat at 35,851,800 at the start of July, a figure that has increased by308,100or0.9 in the past year. That's the smallest annual increase in 17 years, but still the largest pace of growth seen in any G7 nation.

Much of growthcame in the form of people coming from other countries, as migration accounted for 60.8 per cent of the population growth. The rest was natural population growth, as peoplealready in Canada had children.

Aging population

Canada met a milestone that demographers have seen coming for a long time. Inthe year ended in July, the populationof people 65 andolder is now larger than thenumber of children under 15.

There were5,780,900 Canadians 65 andolder on July 1. That compares to an under-15population of5,749,400. In percentage terms, 16.1 per cent of Canadianswere in the 65-and-overgroupin July, with under-15saccounting for just16 per cent of the population.

The cohort of people 65 and up isn't just large in absolute terms, but their ranks are growing faster than the rest of us, too. The population growth rate for the over-64 set increased by 3.5 per cent during the year, four times faster than the population at large.

That pace of growth has increased every year since 2011, the data agency said.

But by international standards, Canada'spopulation of 65-and-oversis still relatively small, and lower than any other G7 nation. In Japan, for example, 26 per cent of the population is over age64.

The bulge of aging baby boomers isn't increasing evenly across Canada, however. Provincially, New Brunswick had the highest proportion of over-64s, at19 per cent of the province's total population.Conversely, the lowest proportion in Canada was in Nunavut, at3.7 per cent. Of the provinces, Alberta had the lowest proportion at 11.6 per cent.

You can't immigrate your way out of a demographic bubble- Economist Mike Moffatt

Nationally, there were 1.01 seniors for every child in Canada under age 15in July. The ratio was highest in Nova Scotia at 1.35 and lowest in Nunavut at 0.12.

Across all age groups, four provinces are making up a bigger and bigger share of Canada's total population. In July, 86.3 per cent of people in Canada lived in Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia and Alberta.

That breaks down as follows:

• Ontario, 38.5 per cent.
• Quebec, 23 per cent.
• B.C., 13.1 per cent.
• Alberta, 11.7 per cent.

Ontario is still Canada's most populous province, with 13,792,100 people, Statistics Canada said. Quebec is the second most populated province at8,263,600 people.

Economic impact

The implications of the demographic rebalancingunderway are massive, assistant professor Mike Moffatt of theRichardIvey School of Business in London, Ont., says.

"Immigration helps a little bit on the margins, but overall the aging is going to happen,"Moffattsaid. "You can't immigrate your way out of a demographic bubble."

The economic impacts of that bubble are already being felt.The number of Canadian women in the workforce into their late 60s hastripled in the last 15 years, Moffattnotes, something that's already changing the makeup ofthe workforce in other developed countries.

Fortunately, Canadais experiencing the baby boomer bulge comparatively late, so we canlearn from the experiences of other countries in how to deal with accompanying problems.

"As the Canadian population gets older,we've got more and more retired people," Moffatt warns. "That puts pressure on the health system and pension system because there'sa smaller cohort of working age people to support that."