Ontario politicians return to Queen's Park for budget debate, re-elect Ted Arnott as Speaker

Members of provincial parliament are back in their seats at Queen's Park on Mondayfor the first time since the Ontario PCslanded themselves another majority government in the June election.

The rare summer sessiongives DougFord's Progressive Conservative government the chance to lay out its agenda, inaspeech from the throneon Tuesday andpresentation of a budget.

As their first order of business, MPPs re-elected Ted Arnott as Speaker.Arnott, a Progressive Conservative who represents Wellington-Halton Hills, served as Speaker for the previous four years.

Following the vote Arnottthanked members for electing him, and thanked the hundreds of staff at the legislature from the cleaners to the clerks and said the assembly couldn't function without them.

Arnott was up for the role against Nina Tangri, who served as associate minister of small business and red tape
reduction.

On Tuesday, there will be a throne speech, which will outline the re-elected Progressive Conservative government's agenda, followed by the budget, which is expected to be largely unchanged from when it was introduced but not passed in the spring before the election.

The only new item that Premier Doug Ford has signalled will be in the budget is a five per cent increase to Ontario Disability Support Program rates, which have been frozen since 2018 at up to $1,169 a month for a single person for basic needs and shelter.

So far, Ford isn't showing signs of veering much from whathe set out in the budget his government tabled in April a budget, which did not have a chance to pass due to the timing of the election.

But his critics say staying the course ignores deteriorating situations the province is facing.

Green Party Leader Mike Schreiner says Ford needs to insteaddouble rates, so people with disabilities don't have to live in"legislated poverty."

The Liberals and the Opposition NDP have also called on thegovernment to increase those payments, and all three parties havealso been calling for Ford to repeal wage restraint legislation as away to ease a nursing staff shortage that has seen emergency roomstemporarily close across the province this summer.

"Now is the time for a new budget to deal with the new realities," interim opposition and Ontario NDP leaderPeter Tabuns saidat a press conference at the legislature Friday.

It is not yet clear how long the legislature will sit for ashort summer session or continue right through to the winter holidaybreak but one piece of legislation that the government hasindicated is coming is a so-called strong mayor bill.

Ford has said his government is aiming to have a system puttingmore power in the hands of the Toronto and Ottawa mayors before themunicipal elections planned for October.

Affordability, health care and education are three issues expected to dominate debates. The OntarioNDPand various groups are already calling for immediate action as Ontarians struggle to put food on the table and hospital units are forced to temporarily closedue to staffing shortages.

"Their honeymoon is over. Sixty per cent of the people in the province weren't thrilled with them on June 2," Tabuns said.

"And again, with the ER crisis, the cost of living crisis...the love is getting ever thinner"

Government officials were tight-lipped Friday about if any tweaks would be made to address increasing pressures in light of the health-care and affordability crisis, pointing instead to money the government has already committed to the health-care sector.

Health care

"I can't imagine how they can keep dodging the problems with the health-care system," said Henry Jacek, professor emeritus of political science at McMaster University.

"They have to show they're going to do something that's going to work," he said, but he doubts it will be something big enough to make a dent in the crisis, given little relief brought on my attempts thus far.

More than a dozen hospital units temporarily closed or reducedservice ahead of the August long weekenddue to a lack of hospital staff, many in critical or emergency care.

"There could come a point with the health-care system, that literally the number of people dying is something he can't ignore," saysLaura Stephenson, a political scientist at Western University.

Unions representing health-care workers such as CUPEare calling for the repeal of Bill 124 that capped salaries for health-care workers, who are leaving the profession in droves with pay often blamed as a reason.

Pam Parks, a registered practical nurse and president of a CUPE local, says she's been telling the Premier and health minister about how dire the situation was for months, but feels like the government hasn't been listening.

"The workforce that they have here, they're excellent. And they're breaking down. They can't do it anymorethey need the government and the employer to realize that they are still here," she says.

Ford has not hinted that he is considering repealing the bill, but last week said, "We're throwing everything we possibly can at the health system."

The spokesperson for the Ministry of Finance says the government is already giving nurses a retention bonus of up to $5000 per person over two years and is investing $230 million thisyear "to enhance existing programs so that hospitals and the health care system have the staff they need." The government is alsoinvesting an additional $3.3 billion into the system in thisfiscal year to "be prepared to respond to any crisis."

Affordability

Stephenson says the rising cost of living is top of mind for many and Ford campaigned on his team being the one to improve the situation for Ontarians.

While gas and house prices are coming down, food prices are skyrocketing and more Ontarians are relying on food banks, she says.

"I think they'll try to make steps in that direction," she said.

Jacek isn't so sure. With the prices of some items decreasing, the government may see this is a shrinking problem, not a growing one to tackle now, he says.

Tabuns says Ontarians can't wait for things to cool off.

"Inflation is eating away at their paychecks, and corporations are using inflation as an excuse to make even bigger fortunes off us," he says.

Education

Public school education unions are back at the bargaining table with the government this summer.

Ford is likely hoping to avoid attracting a lot of additional criticism on this file as a smooth return to school is top of mind for parents during negotiations, says Jacek.

Jacek says if he was advising Ford about what to include in the throne speech, he would say, "You probably should say something positive about what you're going to do in terms of your relationship with the teachers.

Tone tough to predict: expert

Only time will tell what the tone of this session will be, but the throne speech Tuesday will likely offer some clues about the type of Ford government we are likely to see.

Jacek says the varied approaches the Ford government has taken so far will make his tone toughto predict. "Which Doug Ford are we going to see? The hard-nosed one or Mr. Nice Guy?"

Stephenson says with an election now four years away, Ford may use the longer runway to do things a little outside his wheelhouse as crises demand.