Canada election 2015: 11 things that changed since 2011's vote - Action News
Home WebMail Tuesday, November 26, 2024, 08:51 AM | Calgary | -16.5°C | Regions Advertise Login | Our platform is in maintenance mode. Some URLs may not be available. |
Politics

Canada election 2015: 11 things that changed since 2011's vote

If a week is a long time in politics, just imagine how much has happened since Canada's last federal election over four years ago. The turf, the rules and some of the players have changed. So has the electorate they're targeting.

Forget what you thought you knew about federal elections: it's different this time out

How will the 2015 be different?

9 years ago
Duration 2:32
Catherine Cullen explains what's new this time out and what to expect for the next 11 weeks.

If aweek is a long time in politics,imagine how much changed since Canadians last votedon May 2, 2011.

It's a whole newballgame:The turf, the rules and some of the players have changed. And sohas the electorate.

Here's some of what should makethe 2015 campaign so shiny, new and unpredictable for the next 11 weeks.

New ridings, different boundaries

You may no longer live where you thought you did, voters.

Since 2011, Elections Canada embarked on a massive readjustmentof riding boundaries and added 30 new seats, based on changes in Canada's population.

Ontario has 15 new seats. Alberta and British Columbia have six each, and Quebec has three. In other provinces, constituencieswereredrawn.

The new boundaries in Saskatchewan, for example, create several urban seats where seats previously mixedurban and rural polls.

More debates, new formats

What does an election debate look like when it's not organized by a consortium of Canada's major broadcasters? What does a campaign look like when there are more than justtwo (one in English, one in French)?

How do strategists balancerehearsal time with campaign touringwhen debates arescattered overa long campaign?

In 2011, there were only two leaders debates, both run collaboratively by major broadcasters. In 2015, debate organizers include print media, social and online media and a policy debating forum. (Paul Chiasson/Canadian Press)

We'll soonfind out, starting Thursday with a debate hostedby Maclean's magazine's political editor Paul Wells. That will feature Conservative Leader Stephen Harper, NDP Leader Tom Mulcair, Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau and Green Party Leader Elizabeth May.

Here are the others:

  • Sept. 17: Debate in Calgary on the economy,organized by The Globe and Mail and Google Canada. Harper,Mulcair and Trudeauconfirmed.
  • Date to be determined: Debate on foreign policy hosted by the Munk Debates. Harper and Mulcair confirmed, Trudeau also invited.
  • Oct. 2: Debate on Quebec's TVA network (in French) moderatedby Pierre Bruneau. Harper, Mulcair, Trudeau and Bloc QubcoisLeader GillesDuceppe confirmed.
  • Oct. 7: French debate organized by the consortium of broadcasters. Harper has not accepted the invitation, but Mulcair*, Trudeau, Duceppe and Mayexpected.
  • Oct. 8: English debate organized by the consortium of broadcasters. Harper has declined, but Mulcair*, Trudeau and Mayexpected.

*On Friday, the NDP threatened topull out of the consortiumdebates if Harper didn't attend.

Fair Elections Act changes

Earlier this year, Parliament passed C-23, the Fair Elections Act: 242pages packed withchangesranging from campaign financingto voting requirementsto the investigation of election irregularities.

Stephen Harper celebrated four years ago as he won his "strong, stable majority Conservative government." Canadians now have 11 weeks to decide if he'll have another one. (Adrian Wyld/Canadian Press)

There'sa new set of rules onwhat identification voters need to show at the polls. Critics triedbut failed to stop these changes in court, arguing they could prevent some from voting.

In the aftermath of the robocallsaffair, new ruleswereadded for telephone campaigning.

The'Snapchat'election?

In the U.S., commentators suggestthe 2016 presidential vote will be "the Snapchat election," noddingto emerging social media many politiciansare trying out.

The killer app for campaigning in Canada in 2015 isn't clear.If 2008 was "the Twitter election," and if YouTube channels, Google hangouts and Facebook's massive reach have shaped campaigning since, what will emerge this time?

Watch for campaign innovations unthinkable four years ago. Social media has changed the way politically-engaged Canadians talk to each other.

Wary of 15-second soundbites? Brace for the shareable,six-second, looping Vine video.

Post-TV campaigning

Conventional television audiences, on the other hand, have fallen offsince 2011.

Four years ago, Justin Trudeau said he was just happy to have increased the margin of victory in his Montreal riding despite the dramatic sweep of the NDP elsewhere in Quebec. His job as a rookie leader in 2015: front the first Liberal campaign since 2000 that increases the party's seat count. (Graham Hughes/Canadian Press)

More opt to skiptelevision ads. Fewer watch the over-the-airprogramming that used to guarantee a sizeable viewershipand shared national experience for live, prime-timedebates.

How will parties adjust? How will it affect the national conversation?

Will anyone watch an entiredebate, or will votersjust see clips promoted in their Facebook feed?

Post-landlinecampaigning

More Canadians unplugged their phones as well.

That makes it harder for pollsters to buildtraditional randomsamples for public opinion research.

Parties still use phone banks to identify and mobilize supporters, but tools and strategies have changed.

Hot for 2015? Online voter databases.

Most expensive ever?

It costs a lot to fight thefast-pacedadvertising air warthat'sshaping up. And the ground war touring a big country like Canada for twice as long takesserious money.

Without per-vote subsidies, partyfundraising is key.

Thirtynew seatsand thesuper-sized length ratchetup Elections Canadaadministration costs. Mediawill be stretched too.

'Strong, stable majority government'

In thecampaigns Harper won, he could say he needed a mandate to fix things: first because Conservativesweren't in power, and later because his minority government lacked enough votes to pass exactly whatit wanted.

No one blocked the Tories for the last four years. Nowthey run on their record.

Prime Minister Mulcair?

During the 2011 campaign, Tom Mulcair helped engineer then-NDP Leader Jack Layton's extraordinary breakthrough in Quebec. Four years later, Mulcair's rise puts New Democrats in uncharted territory. (Shaun Best/Reuters)

When former leader Jack Laytonsaidhe was running for prime minister, people dismissed it. His successor,polls suggest, might lead Canada's first New Democratic government.

How will that affect Mulcair's strategy? The NDP has no experience campaigning from the front.

Thirdparty blues

Liberals, on the other hand, aren't used tocampaigning as thethird-placeparty.

Recent polls suggest they've slipped back in what still might beathree-way race.

Theseat count going in givesJustin Trudeaua steep hillto climb to the prime minister's office.

11 weeks

Will this longest-evercampaign be, as Conservative spokesmanKory Teneycke suggested Thursday, healthy for democracy?

Or will Canadians be lessthankeen to put down theircold drinks and think about politics in August?

At least anyone undecided has plenty of time to think it over.