The Pollcast: Will the Liberals be stampeded out of Alberta?

In Calgary this past weekend, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau told a crowd of supporters that his party would "not just bring back our [Alberta] MPs, but bring back more MPs to Ottawa" after October's federal election.

That would be a surprise the Liberals are polling lower in Alberta than anywhere else in the country. How likely is it that Trudeau can make good on this promise?

• Podcasts: Subscribe to the CBCPollcast
• Canada Poll Tracker: Check out the latest projections

According to the CBC's Canada Poll Tracker, the Conservatives lead in Alberta with 59.8 per cent support. Trailing at length are the Liberals with 19.8 per cent, followed by the New Democrats at 11.8 per cent and the Greens at 4.5 per cent.

Those numbers put all four of the seats the Liberals won in 2015 at risk of flipping over to the Conservatives. The one seat won by the New Democrats is also vulnerable, as three-term MP Linda Duncan is not running for re-election in her Edmonton Strathcona riding.

So while most of the Alberta electoral map is already blue, the odds are good that it willonly get bluer. To break it all down on this week's episode ofThe Pollcastpodcast, host and CBC polls analyst ric Grenier is joined by Dave Cournoyer, publisher of the Alberta politics website Daveberta.ca and host of the Daveberta Podcast.

Listen to the full discussion above or subscribe to the CBCPollcastand listen to past episodes of the show.