Elephant ivory trade under scrutiny at upcoming wildlife conference

The fate of the elephant hangs in the balance this weekend as the internationalbody that regulates trade in endangered species gathers in South Africa.

The 17th meeting of the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES) kicks off in Johannesburg on Saturday and runs until Oct. 5.

This meeting of 183 member countries comes against the backdrop of a surge in elephant and rhino poaching in recent years in Africa, which has raised the emotional, ecological and economic stakes in this round of big-animal diplomacy.

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A key focus of the meeting will be a number of divisive proposals about the ivory trade and elephant protection.

Onthe one hand, a coalition of 29 African countries led by Kenya is proposing CITEScompletelyban the ivory trade across the African continent and classify all elephants under the most highly protected category.

On the other side, threesouthern African nations Namibia, South Africa and Zimbabwe want elephant protection rules relaxed to allow aglobal ivory trade.

Animal classification

Since 1989, a global ivory trade ban imposed in response to a wave of poachingmeans that nobody can sell ivory across international borders. But that doesn't mean elephants are totally protected.

Some countries, including China, still allow domestic ivory trade, which contributes to illegal poaching and smuggling.

In most African countries, elephants are listed under Appendix I, reserved for speciesregarded as highly endangered or threatened with extinction. Tradein such species or their byproducts for commercial purposes is banned.

But in South Africa, Zimbabwe, Botswana and Namibia, elephants are listed under Appendix II, which allows some tightly-controlled domestic trade, such as the buying and selling of live animals and legal trophy hunting.

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The African Elephant Coalition, made up of 29 countries,wants all elephants classified under Appendix I, bringing any and all ivory trade to a halt.

They also want to destroy existing ivory stockpiles.

The southern African countries,with the exceptionofBotswana, plan to fight theproposal to reclassify elephants. Namibia and Zimbabweare furthercalling for an end to theinternational trade banso they can sell off their ivory stockpiles.

Selling ivory for conservation

While it may seem like the southern countries are pushing an anti-elephant agenda, both sides argue their polices are pro-conservation.

The number of Africa's savannah elephants dropped by about 30 per cent from 2007 to 2014to 352,000because of poaching, according to a UN recent study.But the population destruction is not spread evenly acrossthe continent, and southerncounties with more robust elephant populations believe they should not be treated the same way as other nations hit hard by elephant poaching,

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South Africa Environment Minister Edna Molewa told Reuters her country supports the motion to sell off stockpiles becauseivory sales areneeded to pay for the ecological and social costs of large elephant populations.

"If you look at the communities that are bearing the brunt of living with these animals, their ecological systems are degraded and they lose food security and grazing lands," she said.

In 2008, when CITES allowed a one-off sale of 102 tonnesofelephant ivoryfrom Botswana, Namibia, South Africa and Zimbabwe to China and Japan, those countries raised$15.4 million for elephant conservation.

What's more, trade proponents argue, putting a price on elephants lets people see them as a natural resource worth protecting.

But opponents are concerned that if CITES allows ivory to be tradedeven from stockpiles and as a one-off eventit would send a signal that it is socially acceptable, which could spur demand and further poaching.

A June 2016 study by the U.S. National Bureau of Economic Research backs that idea.

It noted an estimated 71 per cent increase in ivory smuggling out of Africa since the 2008 sale, and couldn't find any other explanation, natural or otherwise, for the dramatic spike.

"These data suggest the widely documented recent increase in elephant poaching likely originated with the legal sale," the study concludes.

'Asmoke screen for an illegal trade'

Conservation groups, meanwhile, are divided on the best way to proceed.

The World Wildlife Fund has argued that classifying all elephants as Appendix Iwill just cause southern countries to pull out of the convention and resume unregulated trade.

Some regulation, it argues, is better than none.

"Far from increasing the level of protection, up-listing opens up a loophole window where countries who want to trade can effectively opt out of the treaty as far as elephants are concerned," spokesmanColman O'Criodaintold the BBC.

Frank Pope, operations manager at Save the Elephants, a Kenya-based group, told the Associated Press thatelephant populations will suffer if African countries don't unite to oppose the ivory trade.

"If one of the nations that wants to sell ivory decides to sell ivory and manages to put that onto the market, that creates a smoke screen for an illegal trade to flourish across the whole of the rest of the continent," he said.

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