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BRICS bloc includes 2 of world's biggest economies and 40% of its population but struggles to wield influence

The BRICS group of countries already includes two of the world's largest economies and about 40 per cent of its population, but at a meeting in Johannesburg this week, it will discuss possibly expanding its membership in a bid to expand the bloc's influence.

Putin won't attend BRICS summit this week because he could face arrest over alleged war crimes in Ukraine

People walk past the Sandton Convention Centre, which will host the upcoming BRICS Summit, in Johannesburg, South Africa August 19, 2023
People walk past the Sandton Convention Centre in Johannesburg, South Africa, on Saturday. Starting Tuesday, the centre will host a summit of the economic bloc known as BRICS, which includes Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. (James Oatway/Reuters)

When the BRICS summit gets underway in Johannesburg on Tuesday, expanding the group beyond its five current members Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa will be at the top of the agenda.

The member countries may havedifferent economicand political systems but, more than a decadeafterthe group was formed, are still bound by their collective desire to challengeU.S. dominance of global affairs.

Around 40 countries haveexpressed interest in joining, according to BRICS officials, including Iran, Saudi Arabia and Argentina.

Over the years, leaders of the BRICS group have all trumpeted their desire for a multipolar world, but there havebeen internal divisions within the economic block, and there appears to be some disagreement around how fast it should expand and which countries should be admitted.

"There are certain nuances among members on the topic of enlargement,"Dmitry Peskov, the spokesperson for Russia's Kremlin, said on a July 17 call with media.

He said the topic will be discussed at the upcoming summit, but Russian President Vladimir Putin will not be taking part in that discussion in person.

WATCH | BRICS nations eye membership expansion, greater global influence:

BRICS members push for broader international role, expanded membership

1 year ago
Duration 2:01
Expanding the membership to BRICS made up of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa is on the agenda as leaders from those countries meet in Johannesburg without President Vladimir Putin. The group is also lobbying for a bigger presence on the international stage.

Arrest warrant prevents Putin from attending

If Putin were to travel to South Africa, the country would be compelled to arrest him, as it is a signatory to the International Criminal Court, which has issued a warrant for Putin for alleged war crimes in Ukraine.

Foreign Minister Seregey Lavrov will, however, be attending.

Given Russia's financial and political isolation from the West, it is keen to shore up any relationships with countries that consider it an ally, say analysts.

China is also eager to welcome new members, and the summit comes at a time when the world's second-largest economy is grappling with sluggish growth, and its relations with the U.S. continue to deteriorate.

Experts say all five of the countries which make up about 40 per cent of the world's population and a quarter of its GDP want more opportunities for trade and investmentand a chance toextend their influence throughout the global south.

"It's not possible to have a relationship between these fivethat is completely flawless," saidAnuradha Chenoy, an adjunct professor of international relations at the Jindal Global University in India.

"There are strategic differences ... but there are also convergences."

Despite China's often tense relationship with India, which at times has played out along a 3,500 kilometre stretch of disputed border, all of the countries have common aims,including reducing the dominance of the U.S. dollar on world markets,Chenoysaid over a Zoomfrom her home in Delhi.

Shifting goals

Reforming international financial institutions such as the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund has been one of theprimary goals of the BRICS group.

Russia initiated the group and hosted the first summit in 2009, which included leaders from China, Brazil and India. South Africa didn't join until the following year. At the end of the inaugural summit, the group released a statement calling for a "greater voice and representation in international financial institutions."

But since then, BRICS has shifted from what was primarily an economic group to a geopolitical one, saysAna Saggioro Garcia, an assistant professor in international relations and the co-ordinator for BRICS Policy Center in Rio De Janeiro.

She says that transition has been accelerated by the strained relations between China and U.S.and by Russia's war in Ukraine.

WATCH | Change course, China warns U.S.:

China warns U.S. to change course or risk 'conflict

2 years ago
Duration 2:36
U.S.-China relations are at a new low as Chinas foreign minister delivered a warning to Washington to change course on its policies toward Beijing or risk conflict after a spate of hot-button issues flared up.

"BRICS has become a political coalition that has at its centre, the questioning of unipolarity or Western hegemony," Garcia said overWhatsApp on her way to catch a flight to Johannesburg.

In Johannesburg,she willtake part in a series of meetings and presentations alongside the main summit and present research related to Chinese investment in Brazil and South Africa.

BRICS bank struggling

Garcia says the BRICS group has repeatedly tried to challenge Western ideologies, which has appealed to countries that feel like they have been unfairly maligned or simply ignored, by the West.

Among the candidatesfor accession to the group are Venezuela and Cuba,both of which facesanctions from the U.S.,along with African nations Algeria and Ethiopia.

The term "BRIC" was originally coined by Jim O'Neill, an economist from Goldman Sachswho used the word in 2001 to refer to the group of emerging economies.In a recent interview with the Financial Times, he criticizedBRICS, saying the bloc of countries "never achieved anything since they first started meeting."

A view of logo of New Development Bank.
The New Development Bank (NDB), which is headquarters in Shanghai, was created in 2015 by the BRICS countries as a way to challenge global financial institutions such as the World Bank. (Aly Song/Reuters)

In 2015, the group created the New Development Bank (NDB), which has approvedjust over $40 billion Cdn in loans since its inception significantly less than the $95 billion the World Bank handed out last year.

But the NDB,which is headquartered in Shanghai, has been struggling since Russia launched its wide-scale invasion of Ukraine as sanctions against Russia makeit more difficult and expensive to access international capital markets.

The majority of the loans that it has handed out have been in U.S. dollars, which have become more valuable against emerging market currencies. This means that the debt countries have taken onhas become more expensive to service.

South Africa's finance minister recently told Reuters that one of thegoals of BRICSis to increase the amount of lending it does in local currencies.

Membership helps countries domestically

But measuring the success of BRICS depends on the benchmark being used, says Cristian Nitoiu, a lecturer in diplomacy and international government at the London campus of Loughborough University.

He says member countries may not have made a lot of headway when it comes to creating new viable financial institutionsor eroding the dominance of the U.S. currency, but they have been able to use the BRICS group as a tool to promote their own interests at home and abroad.

"It allows these countries domestically to say that, actually, we're trying to build something new in the world order," he said.

It also shows the international community that the countries want to take on a leadership role, Nitoiusaid. He says he'sdoubtful that BRICS will expand rapidly as it would erode the prestige of being part of anexclusive club.

Any expansion of membership wouldforce the group to settle ona fixedidentity and decide where it stands on divisivepolitical issues, particularly, Russia's war in Ukraine.

While Russia may see new BRICS members as potential allies,South Africais likely keen on bringing in countries that don't make the group appear to be a collection of "authoritarian-leaning states,"Nitoiu said.

"South Africa sees itself as one of the biggest non-Western democracies."

With files from Reuters